Kilowatt Atlas

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Solar Savings Calculator: Estimate Savings and Payback Time

Estimate the yearly savings and payback of a rooftop solar system from your own use, your price and your utility’s credit for exported power.

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Solar savings calculator

kW
kWh

Depends on sun and shade. Ask the installer. 1,400 is an example.

kWh

Twelve months of bills.

percent

Power used as it is made. 50 is an example.

cents

Use the price from your bill if you know it.

cents per kWh

Your utility's export rate. It may be lower than the retail price.

dollars

An example. Use the quote.

years
percent
percent

Estimated savings

Production, year one8,400 kWh
Share of your use80%
Savings, year one$1,447
Simple payback9.7 years
Total over 25 years$43,456
Total minus net cost$28,456

Every input here is an example, including the production per kW, the share used on site and the 2 percent yearly price rise. It leaves out financing, taxes, battery storage and equipment replacement. Ask installers for their production estimate and the assumptions behind it.

How the estimate is built

  1. Production equals system size times yearly output per kW, reduced each year by the drop in output you enter.
  2. The share used on site is valued at your retail price. The rest goes to the grid and is valued at your export credit.
  3. The retail and export prices rise each year by the rate you enter.
  4. Savings add up over the years you choose, and payback is the point at which they reach the net cost.

Why the credit for exports matters

If your utility credits exported power at the full retail price, as classic net metering does, the share used on site matters little. If it credits at a lower rate, each kWh you use on site is worth more than each kWh you export, and savings fall. Check your utility's rule. See net metering explained.

How much the export credit and on-site use change the answer

Year-one savings for an example 6 kW system by on-site use and export credit
Share used on siteExport credit 17.2 centsExport credit 10.3 centsExport credit 5.2 cents
30 percent$1,448$1,042$738
50 percent$1,448$1,158$941
70 percent$1,448$1,274$1,144

Source: 6 kW, 1,400 kWh per kW, 10,492 kWh of yearly use, retail 17.23 cents from EIA Form EIA-861. The export credits shown are 100, 60 and 30 percent of that retail price, as examples of different rules.

Where to get a production estimate

Yearly output per kW depends on sun, tilt, direction and shade. Installers give an estimate with their assumptions, and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's PVWatts calculator gives an independent one for an address. Use both, and ask the installer to explain any gap.

Incentives and the net cost

The net cost should be what you pay after any rebates. The federal homeowner credit ended for 2026 installs, and state and utility offers vary. See solar incentives and federal tax credits for the dates and sources.

What the estimate leaves out

  • Financing costs, taxes and the value of a battery.
  • Inverter replacement and other maintenance.
  • Changes to your utility's rules, which can lower or raise the value of exported power.
  • The effect on a home's sale price, which varies.

Frequently asked questions

How do I estimate solar savings?

Multiply the system’s yearly kWh by what each kWh is worth, using your retail price for power used on site and your export credit for the rest. The calculator does this and adds payback.

What is a simple payback?

The number of years of savings it takes to equal the net cost of the system, with no interest or financing included.

Why does the export credit matter?

Because power sent to the grid may be credited at a lower rate than power you use. The lower the credit, the more it pays to use solar power in the home.

Does this calculator store my numbers?

No. It runs in your browser and nothing you enter is sent to our servers.

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